The Tokyo 2020 Non Athletics Thread

[philipo]

Great to see our gymnasts performing well.Well done the pommelman 😄😄😄

[philipo]

Max Whitlock with the pommel horse gold! Retains his title from Rio 2016!

Great job Max. 😄😄🙃

[alfie]

Full marks to Max Whitlock : brilliant performance basically blew the rest of them away . He set himself for the one event and must have felt under a lot of pressure (indeed his comments this afternoon before the final indicate he did) but he just did what the true stars do : produced the goods when it counts. Like Peaty , he just doesn't let himself or his team down 👏👏👏

[Grassmarket]

Equestrian will be our main hopes today, we are overnight leaders in both categories. Gymnastics are outsiders, and in athletics, shooting and cycling we have no qualified finalists.

02:20 Athletics Men Long Jump Medal Final
03:50 Athletics Women 100m Hurdles Medal Final
05:00 Badminton Women Doubles Bronze Medal Final
05:00 Badminton Women Doubles Gold Medal Final
06:30 Shooting Men 25m Pistol Medal Final
06:33 Sailing Women 49er Medal Race
07:33 Sailing Men 49er Medal Race
08:50 Shooting Men Rifle Three Positions Medal Final
09:00 Artistic Gymnastics Men Rings Medal Final
09:30 Equestrian Eventing Jumping Team Medal Final
09:57 Artistic Gymnastics Women Floor Exercise Medal Final
10:06 Track Cycling Women Team Sprint Bronze Medal Final
10:09 Track Cycling Women Team Sprint Gold Medal Final
10:51 Artistic Gymnastics Men Vault Medal Final
11:30 Wrestling Men Greco-Roman 60kg Medal Matches
11:30 Wrestling Men Greco-Roman 130kg Medal Matches
12:00 Athletics Women Discus Medal Final
12:00 Badminton Men Singles Bronze Medal Final
12:00 Badminton Men Singles Gold Medal Final
12:45 Equestrian Eventing Jumping Individual Medal Final
12:55 Wrestling Women Freestyle 76kg Medal Matches
13:15 Athletics Men 3000m Steeplechase Medal Final
13:40 Athletics Women 5000m Medal Final

[marra]

Sailing is a reasonable chance - we're sitting in 2nd on the Mens 49er and 5th in the Womens going into the medal race. Both could still win medals, Men obv more likely.

Very outside shot is Weightlifting Womens 87+kg - Emily Campbell is ranked 6th coming in, I believe, but not far behind silver/bronze in terms of weights lifted in past competitions. Weightlifting often tends to be one of the more predictable events though, so definitely nothing more than a small chance.

[Laps]

The latest prediction of medal numbers from Gracenote -

""Team GB's 32 medals are now eight ahead of the number we forecast at this stage. We have therefore adjusted our projected British medal total upwards to 60, including 16 gold medals as the number of golds is also two ahead of schedule.

"At this stage, it looks like Great Britain could finish fourth on total medals, ahead of hosts Japan. A few more gold medals will be required to finish that high on the gold-ordered table, though. The current Gracenote forecast of 16 for Great Britain would almost certainly mean fifth place on the final medal table."

[treadwater1]

I noticed that Laura Muir was tipped to win the 1500 a few months ago by the Gracenote experts, since then I’ve given them a wide berth.

I’ve been quite disconcerted by how well Russia have done, they’ve won more medals in swimming than they did in 2012

[Taffy2]

Gymnastics womens floor is a chance, by no means a great chance but a chance finals tend to be filled with errors. Biles not being there has given all 8 finalists a chance. If the British girl can execute as well as she did @ europeans she will be top 5.. Biles absence could lead some of the favourites to take more risks as the big G is now more of a possibility. I think Biles , even with errors in past champs was almost unbeatable on floor.

[SprintRelayFan]

Both of them did well on floor in the AA - in fact better then they did to qualify.

[alfie]

The latest prediction of medal numbers from Gracenote -

""Team GB's 32 medals are now eight ahead of the number we forecast at this stage. We have therefore adjusted our projected British medal total upwards to 60, including 16 gold medals as the number of golds is also two ahead of schedule.

"At this stage, it looks like Great Britain could finish fourth on total medals, ahead of hosts Japan. A few more gold medals will be required to finish that high on the gold-ordered table, though. The current Gracenote forecast of 16 for Great Britain would almost certainly mean fifth place on the final medal table."

Don't know how Gracenote cooks up these figures. Nice if they are right but honestly I cannot quite see where another 28 medals are coming from. Perhaps the golds could actually do better than 16 if the cards fall favourably but I am not placing bets at the moment. Prefer to watch and see

[trickstat]

Maybe they've just upped their total medals prediction by a percentage roughly equal to that by which we have exceeded their predictions so far? Not very scientific if that's the case.

[marra]

Don't know how Gracenote cooks up these figures. Nice if they are right but honestly I cannot quite see where another 28 medals are coming from. Perhaps the golds could actually do better than 16 if the cards fall favourably but I am not placing bets at the moment. Prefer to watch and see

In my predictions I still have 32 of my medal shots for GB still to compete. Now, don't get me wrong, even I don't think that all of those will medal. But with all the boxing and sailing medals still to officially come in, we'll likely get a steady boost from them.

What will likely determine where we end up is probably the track cycling - we're pretty clearly not going to sweep the board as we have done in previous years. But I still think we're in for a reasonable chunk of medals from them - the W Team Pursuit was excellent in their qualifying ride, just beaten by an unreal German performance. Still a solid medal chance. The M Team Pursuit was, sadly, roughly where I expected it to be. It just isn't the powerhouse it was in years gone by. I didn't have them medalling in my predictions and nothing in that first ride makes me doubt that.

[Grassmarket]

The women team pursuit is an excellent indicator of form, because it contains within it two other medals - the omnium & the madison - so we’re looking at three very decent gold chances there.

[Ursus]

2nd in qualifying for the women’s team pursuit which is always one of my favourite events.

Germans lead the way with a new WR. We were also under the old WR (ours) but an uneven ride - well up on WR pace but then faded in the last kilo. Katie Archibald is just a machine though.

[Grassmarket]

Hoping the speed variation was a deliberate dial-back of the pace.

[Ursus]

Me too although not convinced it was.

[marra]

Well, we beat the Aussies on the Men's side, so somehow, we're still technically in with a shot of Gold. Would have to beat the Danes though, which I just don't think we can do. Getting a bronze would be a success of sorts I think.

The German performance was unreal. Did not expect them to competing for the top step, let alone be almost 2 seconds clear! Thought it would be a shootout between GB and the US for Gold - now that's a race to get into the final!

[SprintRelayFan]

Another medal for Italy! Veteran Ferrari gets silver on the floor. Jade Carey keeps the title American. Twins 6th and 7th, both executed their routines really well, just need to build the difficulty.
Biles has confirmed she's doing beam

[Ursus]

Well, we beat the Aussies on the Men's side, so somehow, we're still technically in with a shot of Gold. Would have to beat the Danes though, which I just don't think we can do. Getting a bronze would be a success of sorts I think.

The German performance was unreal. Did not expect them to competing for the top step, let alone be almost 2 seconds clear! Thought it would be a shootout between GB and the US for Gold - now that's a race to get into the final!

Difficult on the men’s side for sure.

The women should be there or thereabouts although a little worrying that Archibald had to check back over her shoulder to make sure her team mates were with her (a gap was opening). A more even paced ride and possible changes should see them go quicker.

I didn’t see the men’s, but it does seem to be the trend for the 4th rider to drop off much earlier than before. Even when Denmark set the men’s WR they were down to 3 before 2,375m.

[Grassmarket]

Idea is that one rider leads the team out for a couple of long multi-lap stints, then drops.

[Ursus]

That’s high risk though as you’re stuffed if one of the chosen 3’s having an off day.

The GB men who set the WR in London were all together until about half a lap from the end, presumably sharing the work more evenly, but the trend seems to have moved from that to burning one rider early.

Personally I’d prefer it if all riders had to finish and the time was taken from the 4th rider, or 3rd if crash / mechanical failure. On the subject of which, did you see the Aussie handlebar failure? Yeouch!

[trickstat]

First GB team gold in the 3 day event since 1972 achieved.

[RunUnlimited]

That's gold for the GB equestrian team in the eventing! GB's 11th gold of these Olympics.