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PREDICTION CONTEST - 2021 European Indoor Championships

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  • #16
    weakened in the end Lucky.

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    • #17
      Yes, I'll take Jogger as meaning 4850 for the Pentathlon.

      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BRITISH MEDALISTS

      Women:
      800: Hodgkinson
      3000: Ockenden
      60H: Porter
      PV: Bradshaw

      Men:
      800: Webb
      1500: Gourley
      60H: Pozzi
      4x400

      CHAMPIONS & WINNING MARKS

      Women:
      60: Del Ponte 7.11
      400: Bol 50.64
      800: Jozwik 2:00.28
      1500: Klein 4:07.80
      3000: Mismas-Zrimsek 8:51.45
      60H: Visser 7.81
      HJ: Mahuchikh 2.02
      PV: Bradshaw 4.80
      LJ: Iapichino 6.88
      TJ: Skvartsova 14.46
      SP: Dongmo 19.55
      Pen: Vidts 4720
      4x400: Poland 3:27.75

      Men:
      60: Lamont Jacobs 6.52
      400: Maslak 46.06
      800: Webb 1:45.57
      1500: Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:34.60
      3000: Jakob Ingebrigtsen 7:48.95
      60H: Pozzi 7.52
      HJ: Tamberi 2.36
      PV: Duplantis 6.10
      LJ: Tentoglou 8.25
      TJ: Pichardo 17.30
      SP: Haratyk 21.96
      Hep: Mayer 6287
      4x400: Czech Republic 3:04.80

      Comment


      • #18
        Konrad Bukowiecki has withdrawn with a broken toe.

        Also, apparently Ewa Swoboda has tested positive for COVID so may be out (awaiting a second test?). Obviously, if that does happen, that's going to affect some contest entries.

        I'll look for more withdrawals tonight and then tomorrow, when startlists are published, I'll look for any further. So, it would be a good idea to come back here shortly before the contest closing time, check post #2 and see if you need to make any edits to your predictions.

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        • #19
          Yes, it seems to be confirmed that Ewa Swoboda has withdrawn. Time to hit that Edit button if it affects your predictions!

          Comment


          • #20
            just changed my 60m women to Del Ponte 7.14

            Comment


            • #21
              British Medallists
              Women
              60h Porter
              HJ Lake
              PV Bradshaw
              4*400

              Men
              800 Webb
              60H Pozzi

              CHAMPIONS & WINNING MARKS

              Women:
              60: Del Ponte 7.10
              400: Bol 50.50
              800: Jozwik 2:00.60
              1500: Guerrero 4:08.50
              3000: Kester 8:53.00
              60H: Visser 7.79
              HJ: Mahuchikh 2.04
              PV: Bradshaw 4.80
              LJ: Mihambo 6.80
              TJ: Papahrístou 14.51
              SP: Dongmo 19.75
              Pen: Thiem 4700
              4x400: NL3:29.75

              Men:
              60: Lamont Jacobs 6.52
              400: Maslak 46.10
              800: Kszczot 1:45.50
              1500: Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3:34.50
              3000: Jakob Ingebrigtsen 7:43.95
              60H: Belocian 7.43
              HJ: Tamberi 2.34
              PV: Duplantis 6.10
              LJ: Tentoglou 8.25
              TJ: Pichardo 17.50
              SP: Haratyk 212.00
              Hep: Mayer 6430
              4x400: NL 3:03.50


              I hope that I'm wrong on the W800 medallists, as I appear to be the only person not going for a British medal!

              Comment


              • #22
                Part 1 - PREDICT THE BRITISH MEDALISTS
                WOMEN
                800 Keely Hodgkinson, Isobelle Boffey
                60h Tiffany Porter
                HJ Morgan Lake
                PV Holly Bradshaw
                SP Sophie McKinna
                Pentathlon Holly Mills
                4x4

                MEN
                800 Jamie Webb
                60h Andy Pozzi
                LJ Jacob Fincham-Dukes


                Part 2 and 3 - PREDICT THE CHAMPIONS and PREDICT THE WINNING MARKS

                WOMEN
                60 Del Ponte, 7.15
                400 Bol, 50.59
                800 Boffey, 2.00.16
                1500 Vanderelst, 4.09.02
                3000 Mismas-Zrimsek, 8.51.59
                60h Visser, 7.80
                HJ Mahuchikh, 2.07
                PV Bradshaw, 4.80
                LJ Iapichino, 7.02
                TJ Papahristou, 14.45
                SP Dongmo, 19.32
                Pen, Thiam , 4890
                4x4 Netherlands, 3.27.06

                MEN
                60 Lamont Jacobs, 6.50
                400 Maslak, 46.03
                800 Webb, 1.45.00
                1500 Jakob Ingebrigsten, 3.32.19
                3000 Jakob Ingebrigtsen, 7.34.49
                60h Belocian 7.45
                HJ Tamberi, 2.35
                PV Duplantis, 6.19
                LJ Tentoglou, 8.25
                TJ Pichardo, 17.40
                SP Haratyk, 21.80
                Hep Mayer 6445
                4x4 Czech 3.07.09
                Last edited by LoveSprints1; 04-03-21, 16:09.

                Comment


                • #23
                  One hour to get your entry posted!

                  No further significant withdrawals to report.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Time's up! No edits allowed, unless authorised by me (in special circumstances regarding a withdrawal).

                    Eight contestants in the end, after a slow first couple of days.

                    With strong favourites in many events there's a lot of consensus about champions. However, the Women's 8, 15 & 3k are wide open and look set to be one of our key battlegrounds. There's also a fair bit of variance in the British medalists predictions.

                    Good luck! Just don't have more than me!

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      "HALFWAY" SCORES (after 12 of 26 events completed)

                      * Please note that for your British medalist predictions I have scored them only for events that have been completed (to avoid the possibility of double counting tomorrow)

                      Let me explain how I've shown your scores below ...

                      The numbers are:
                      (+ Correct Brit Medals - Incorrect Brit Medals) + Champion Picks + Winning Marks = Total

                      1 Laps (+ 3 - 3) + 18 + 21 = 39
                      2 Occasional Hope (+ 6 - 3) + 18 + 17 = 38
                      3 philipo (+ 3 - 3) + 18 + 17 = 35
                      4 LoveSprints1 (+ 3 - 9) + 21 + 19 = 34
                      5 LuckySpikes (+ 6 - 3) + 15 + 13 = 31
                      6 oxfan (+ 3 - 0) + 18 + 9 = 30
                      =7 Jogger (+ 3 - 3) + 15 + 13 = 28
                      =7 Ladyloz (+ 3 - 6) + 18 + 13 = 28

                      With more than half the events yet to be completed, anyone could still win!

                      I will post the final scores as soon as I can after competition ends tomorrow and will include the customary honorary awards for best individual British medalist pick and best individual Champion pick.
                      Last edited by LuckySpikes; 06-03-21, 21:52.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        i wonder how todays relays will affect the totals bearing in mind that there are two relay races and "the DQ happy" brigade will be out to do their best.!!!

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          With 3 of us - Jogger, philipo & myself - exactly predicting Pichardo to win with 17.30, things have tightened up a bit!

                          LIVE SCORES after Men's TJ
                          Laps 44
                          Occasional Hope 44
                          philipo 42
                          LoveSprints1 39
                          LuckySpikes 38
                          Jogger 35
                          oxfan 34
                          Ladyloz 34

                          Just to be clear about the COVID-related withdrawal of Poland from the Men's 4x400, I'm not allowing any edits (e.g., adding a medal for the British 4x4 team). It should be thought of as akin to an injury picked up during competition.

                          The special circumstances I referred to in post #26 were about a significant withdrawal that was actually announced before the contest closing time but which I/we didn't pick up in time.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            ooh its getting close!!!. The relays may decide it; Sember quite a surprise, and after the womens hurdles Porter may have a battle on her hands ;

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              In the process of tallying the scores I really couldn't get a firm sense of who the winner would be. Most people were doing well on two of the parts but then not well on the other part.

                              Firstly, the two Honorary Awards go to ...
                              • Best British medalist prediction - Occasional Hope and LuckySpikes, the only two contestants to pick Verity Ockenden (3000m)
                              • Best Champion predictions - Laps for Maryna Bekh-Romanchuk (Long Jump) AND Oscar Husillos (400m) & LoveSprints1 for Elise Vanderelst (1500m)
                              "Part winners"
                              • The best British Medalist predictor was LuckySpikes with 7 correct and 1 incorrect.
                              • The best Champion predictors were LoveSprints1 and oxfan, both predicting 16 of the 26 champions correctly.
                              • The best Winning Mark predictor was Laps and by some distance, 9 points more than anyone else.
                              OK, drum roll please! The final scores are in ...

                              FINAL RESULTS
                              (refer to post #27 just above for the meaning of the numbers)

                              GOLD - Laps (+ 15 - 3) + 45 + 44 = 101
                              SILVER - Occasional Hope (+ 21 - 6) + 42 + 33 = 90
                              BRONZE - LuckySpikes (+ 21 - 3) + 36 + 35 = 89
                              =4 Ladyloz (+ 18 - 6) + 42 + 32 = 86
                              =4 LoveSprints1 (+ 18 - 15) + 48 + 35 = 86
                              =4 oxfan (+ 15 - 3) + 48 + 26 = 86
                              7 philipo (+ 12 - 3) + 42 + 34 = 85
                              8 Jogger (+ 21 - 6) + 39 + 29 = 83

                              So, in the end, a quite dominant victory for Laps. Otherwise, it was very, very close for the minor places.

                              Congratulations to Laps and the other medalists!

                              Thanks to everyone for playing. I've really enjoyed it again!

                              Please let me know what you thought of the new Part 3, Predicting the Winning Marks (the first time we've done that). Do you think that worked well or not? I'll bear all feedback in mind for future contests.

                              At the moment, my thought is only to use that for the Indoor Championships and for the Outdoor Championships contests to have 2 parts - 1) Predict the British Medalists and 2) Predict the 1-2-3 for each event (or a selection of events since 48 events is a lot of predicting!) as we did for Doha 2019 and, I think, Berlin 2018.

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Great fun and congrats to Laps on a clear victory; very close competition with only 5 points between 7th place and Silver.
                                Lucky a great third day for you and a thousand thanks for doing all the hard work.
                                I look forward immensely to the big one in August 2021 when it will be a tough contest and the third part is fun, so I hope you will repeat the contest along similar lines.

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