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PREDICTION CONTEST - 2021 European Indoor Championships

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  • PREDICTION CONTEST - 2021 European Indoor Championships

    Are you ready for another exciting contest, our first track & field one for 17 months?!

    There's 3 parts this time, 2 of them familiar to those who've played before. Please note the requested format below for posting your entry - it really does help me zip through tallying the scores if the info is in the same order for all contestants.

    For the corresponding contest in Glasgow 2019 we had 10 participants so it would be great to at least match that this time.

    In order to accomodate the new element of the contest (Part 3) you'll see that the scoring for Parts 1 & 2 has been tripled.

    The Final Entries PDF on the European Athletics website is at https://directus.european-athletics....6-9d41209a67dd (be aware that a few nations including Britain have included their reserves on the lists.)

    I have reserved post #2 below for listing any significant Withdrawals. If anyone spots any, please post the info in this thread. I will also endeavour to keep an eye open. Please check this list and, if necessary, amend your contest entry before submitting it.

    If you need any clarification on anything, please ask away!


    Part 1 - PREDICT THE BRITISH MEDALISTS
    Predict which British athletes you think will win medals.

    You do not need to specify which colour medal you think they will win but you do need to specify which event they will win a medal in.
    For the relay teams, you don't need to name the individual athletes, you just need to say "Great Britain" if you think they will medal.

    Scoring
    Remember there is some jeopardy involved, so while you will score 3 points for each correct prediction, you will also lose 3 points for each incorrect prediction.


    Part 2 - PREDICT THE CHAMPIONS
    Predict the champion for each of the 26 events.

    Scoring
    3 points for each correct prediction; No points are deducted for incorrect predictions.


    Part 3 - PREDICT THE WINNING MARKS
    Predict the winning mark for each of the 26 events.

    Scoring
    This will be done on a percentage basis ...
    There are 4 points available for each event.

    For track events ...
    1 point scored if you are within 1% but greater than 0.5% either side of the winning mark
    2 points if you are within 0.5% but greater than 0.25% away
    3 points if you are within 0.25% away but not exactly correct
    4 points for an exact prediction

    For field events ...
    Scoring is the same but the percentages you can be within are doubled so 1 point = 2% to 1% away; 2 points = 1% to 0.5%; 3 points = within 0.5%; 4 points = exact prediction

    Some examples ...
    If the Women's 800 is won in 2:00.00 scoring would be as follows:
    1 point for a prediction in the 1:58.80 to 1:59.41 range or in the 2:00.61 to 2:01.20 range
    2 points for a prediction in the 1:59.40 to 1:59.69 range or in the 2:00.31 to 2:00.60 range
    3 points for a prediction in the 1:59.70 to 1:59.99 range or in the 2:00.01 to 2:00.30 range
    4 points for 2:00.00 !

    If the Men's Long Jump is won in 8.00 scoring would be as follows:
    1 point for a prediction in the 8.09 to 8.16 range or in the 7.84 to 7.91 range
    2 points for a prediction in the 8.05 to 8.08 range or in the 7.92 to 7.95 range
    3 points for a prediction in the 8.01 to 8.04 range or in the 7.96 to 7.99 range
    4 points for 8.00 !


    TIEBREAKER
    There's no tiebreaker this time. I feel confident that Part 3 will bring some separation at the top. But, if there is a tie for first place, all the contestants involved will be awarded the Gold medal.

    FORMAT OF YOUR ENTRY
    For Part 1, please use the order of events in EA's Final Entries PDF (linked above) but submit all your Women's British medalists first and then your Men's.

    For Parts 2 & 3, please combine your predictions in one line, e.g.,
    60: Zahi 7.12
    400: Sprunger 51.85
    ...

    Again, please use the Final Entries PDF to determine the order of events and again please list all the Women's champions first and then the Men's.

    Please check that for Parts 2 & 3 you have listed all 26 events (13 for each gender).

    If any athletes in an event share a surname please be clear about which athlete you are choosing.


    CLOSING TIME FOR ENTRIES & EDITING YOUR ENTRY
    The closing time for your entry is 5.50pm UK time on Thursday 4th March (that's 10 minutes before the first event starts). Up to that point you can edit your team as many times as you wish - please do so by editing your original post if you know how to. That helps me enormously. Edits can not be made after the closing time.

    NOTE: If editing more than once, err on the side of caution and leave at least an hour between edits to avoid the forum software flagging your post "Unapproved".


    OTHER INFO
    If any of your Part 1 predictions is a DNS in your specified event you will not be deducted points for that athlete's failure to medal.

    "Halfway" scores will be provided after Saturday's competiton when 12 of the 26 events will have been decided.

    I do double-check the scoring but if you think I've still made an error, please do not hesitate to query it.


    RECENT PREDICTIONS CONTEST HISTORY
    At the 2019 European Indoors contest a first-time player, Joel68, took the Gold medal on the tiebreaker ahead of philipo & treadwater1 who shared the Silver medal. No bronze was awarded due to two Silver medals being handed out.
    oxfan & philipo scored most points in Predict the British Medalists and treadwater1 had a clear margin predicting the champions, getting 17 of the 26 correct, 2 more than the next best.

    The 2019 Doha contest seems to have disappeared off the forum (remember that about 3 months worth of my posts got deleted by the system?) However, I seem to recall that Joel68 took that one too. Sorry, but I can't recall the other medalists. I haven't seen Joel68 on the forum for ages so I wonder if he'll be back to defend his European Indoor crown this week?

    ... ...

    OK, that's enough yakkin', good luck everyone!
    Last edited by LuckySpikes; 28-02-21, 18:19.

  • #2
    Significant WITHDRAWALS:

    Women's
    60: Ewa Swoboda
    1500: Ciara Mageean
    LJ: Ivana Spanovic

    Men's
    800: Elliot Giles
    3000: Marc Scott
    HJ: Andriy Protsenko
    LJ: Radek Juska
    SP: Konrad Bukowiecki
    Last edited by LuckySpikes; 03-03-21, 16:43.

    Comment


    • Ladyloz
      Ladyloz commented
      Editing a comment
      Swoboda has withdrawn from 60m with a COVID positive test

  • #3
    I'm usually rather rubbish at this (and it is even harder this year), but here goes:

    Part 1 - PREDICT THE BRITISH MEDALISTS
    WOMEN
    800 Keely Hodgkinson
    3000 Verity Ockenden
    HJ Morgan Lake
    PV Holly Bradshaw
    4x4

    MEN
    800 Jamie Webb
    60h Andy Pozzi
    LJ Jacob Fincham-Dukes
    4x4

    Part 2 and 3 - PREDICT THE CHAMPIONS and PREDICT THE WINNING MARKS

    WOMEN
    60 Dal Ponte, 7.16
    400 Bol, 50.41
    800 Hodgkinson, 2.01.16
    1500 Pen Freitas, 4.10.16
    3000 Bahta, 8.48.01
    60h Visser, 7.78
    HJ Mahuchikh, 2.08
    PV Bradshaw, 4.70
    LJ Iapichino, 6.98
    TJ Skvartsova, 14.42
    Dongmo, 19.32
    Pen Thiam, 4730
    4x4 Poland, 3.29.06

    MEN
    60 Lamont Jacobs, 6.51
    400 Maslak, 46.11
    800 Webb, 1.45.00
    1500 Jakob Ingebrigsten, 3.33.14
    3000 Jakob Ingebrigtsen, 7.55.03
    60h Pozzi, 7.59
    HJ Tamberi, 2.36
    PVDuplantis, 6.06
    LJ Tentoglou, 8.23
    TJ Pichardo, 17.22
    Shot Haratyk, 21.78
    Hep Mayer 6280
    4 x 4 Czech 3.03.09
    Last edited by Occasional Hope; 03-03-21, 16:43.

    Comment


    • #4
      Thanks, Occasional Hope!

      Is that a very "tactical" Men's 4x4 ?

      You might want to correct that winning time.

      Comment


    • #5
      Lucky, I have decided to give this comp a miss and hope that you will be doing a P.C for the OG in July.

      Comment


      • #6
        As per his Instagram, Marc Scott has withdrawn to instead concentrate on training in the US.

        Originally posted by philipo View Post
        Lucky, I have decided to give this comp a miss and hope that you will be doing a P.C for the OG in July.
        Ah, that's a shame philipo. But yes, we'll have one for the Olympics too!

        Comment


        • #7
          Great Credit to you Lucky Spikes, you must have put in a lot of work to come up with the T&Cs ! I honestly dont have the energy to trawl through all the entries to figure out a response - I'd only end up copy and pasting someone else hahahaha ... But thank you for your efforts like phillipo i will try harder for the OG!

          Comment


          • #8
            Originally posted by carterhatch View Post
            Great Credit to you Lucky Spikes, you must have put in a lot of work to come up with the T&Cs ! I honestly dont have the energy to trawl through all the entries to figure out a response - I'd only end up copy and pasting someone else hahahaha ... But thank you for your efforts like phillipo i will try harder for the OG!
            You still have 3 days ... do 9 events a day?

            Comment


            • #9
              Originally posted by carterhatch View Post
              Great Credit to you Lucky Spikes, you must have put in a lot of work to come up with the T&Cs ! I honestly dont have the energy to trawl through all the entries to figure out a response - I'd only end up copy and pasting someone else hahahaha ... But thank you for your efforts like phillipo i will try harder for the OG!
              well thats going to be big fun in July with Covid interventions possible up to the last minute.

              Comment


              • #10
                Just under 48 hours to get your entry in.

                Don't let it be just me & Occasional Hope !

                Comment


                • #11
                  Here are my Predictions:-

                  Part 1. GB Medals

                  Women
                  800m Hodgkinson
                  60h Porter
                  PV Bradshaw
                  Shot McKinna
                  4x4

                  Men
                  800m Webb
                  1500m Gourley
                  60h Pozzi

                  Part 2. Champions and Winning Times/Marks

                  Women
                  60m Del Ponte 7.12
                  400m Bol 50.49
                  800m Hynne 2:01.08
                  1500m Bahta 4.09.68
                  3000m Koster 8.52.44
                  60h Visser 7.84
                  HJ. Mahuchikh 2.05
                  PV Bradshaw 4.80
                  LJ Mihambo 6.93
                  TJ Papahristou 14.48
                  Shot Dongmo 19.51
                  Pent Thiam 4832
                  4x4 Poland 3.26.94

                  Men
                  60m Jacobs 6.54
                  400m Maslak 45.92
                  800m Webb 1.45.38
                  1500m Jakob Ingebrigtsen 3.33.82
                  3000m Jakob Ingebrigtsen 7.46.26.
                  60h Pozzi 7.49
                  HJ Tamberi 2.36
                  PV Duplantis 6.10
                  LJ Tentoglou 8.27
                  TJ Pichardo 17.28
                  Shot Haratyk 21.93
                  Hept Mayer 6305
                  4x4 Netherlands 3.03.52
                  Last edited by Ladyloz; 03-03-21, 15:25.

                  Comment


                  • #12
                    Thanks. Ladyloz.

                    I'll presume that you meant 7.49 for Pozzi.

                    Comment


                    • Ladyloz
                      Ladyloz commented
                      Editing a comment
                      Edited now

                  • #13
                    This is my first go at one of these, so I will probably do terribly, but I have to start somewhere I guess. If nothing else, it gives me more athletes to cheer on!

                    GB

                    Women
                    800m Hodgkinson
                    60m hurdles Porter
                    High Jump Lake
                    Pole Vault Bradshaw
                    4x400m

                    Men
                    800m Webb
                    60m hurdles Pozzi
                    Long jump Fincham-Dukes
                    4x400m

                    Champions/ marks

                    Women
                    60m Del Ponte 7.16
                    400m Bol 50.75
                    800m Hodgkinson 2.00.56
                    1500m Krause 4.10.11
                    3000m Bahta 8.55.43
                    60mh Visser 7.88
                    High Jump Mahuchikh 2.05
                    Pole Vault Bradshaw 4.85
                    Long Jump Mihambo 6.85
                    Triple Jump Papahristou 14. 57
                    Shot Put Dongmo 19.51
                    Pentathlon Thiam 4850
                    4x400m Poland 3.28.67

                    Men
                    60m Kranz 6.55
                    400m Maslak 46.13
                    800m Webb 145.32
                    1500m J Ingebrigtsen 3.34.69
                    3000m J Ingebrigtsen 7.53.43
                    60mh Pozzi 7.54
                    High Jump Tamberi 2.36
                    Pole Vault Duplantis 6.05
                    Long Jump Tentoglou 8.25
                    Triple Jump Pichardo 17.30
                    Shot Put Haratyk 21.75
                    Heptathlon Mayer 6456
                    4x400m Czech Republic 3.04.14
                    Last edited by Jogger; 03-03-21, 16:51.

                    Comment


                    • #14
                      Originally posted by Jogger View Post
                      This is my first go at one of these, so I will probably do terribly, but I have to start somewhere I guess. If nothing else, it gives me more athletes to cheer on!

                      GB

                      Women
                      800m Hodgkinson
                      60m hurdles Porter
                      High Jump Lake
                      Pole Vault Bradshaw
                      4x400m

                      Men
                      800m Webb
                      60m hurdles Pozzi
                      Long jump Fincham-Dukes
                      4x400m

                      Champions/ marks

                      Women
                      60m Swoboda 7.10
                      400m Bol 50.75
                      800m Hodgkinson 2.00.56
                      1500m Krause 4.10.11
                      3000m Bahta 8.55.43
                      60mh Visser 7.88
                      High Jump Mahuchikh 2.05
                      Pole Vault Bradshaw 4.85
                      Long Jump Mihambo 6.85
                      Triple Jump Papahristou 14. 57
                      Shot Put Dongmo 19.51
                      Pentathlon Thiam 8850
                      4x400m Poland 3.28.67

                      Men
                      60m Kranz 6.55
                      400m Maslak 46.13
                      800m Webb 145.32
                      1500m J Ingebrigtsen 3.34.69
                      3000m J Ingebrigtsen 7.53.43
                      60mh Pozzi 7.54
                      High Jump Tamberi 2.36
                      Pole Vault Duplantis 6.05
                      Long Jump Tentoglou 8.25
                      Triple Jump Pichardo 17.30
                      Shot Put Haratyk 21.75
                      Heptathlon Mayer 6456
                      4x400m Czech Republic 3.04.14
                      i think you meant Thiam 4850. I read she only just had a positive covid test. Hope it was no impediment to her efforts this w/e.

                      Comment


                      • Jogger
                        Jogger commented
                        Editing a comment
                        Yes it was a typo. I wasn't meaning to suggest that I was predicting her to smash the heptathlon world record!

                    • #15
                      Euro indoors championships 2021

                      PREDICTION CONTEST

                      PART 1
                      BRITISH MEDALLISTS
                      WOMEN

                      800m Hodgkinson
                      P.V. Bradshaw

                      MEN

                      800m Webb
                      1500m Copeland
                      60m Hurdles Pozzi

                      PART2 PREDICT CHAMPIONS AND WINNING MARKS

                      WOMEN

                      60m Del Ponte 7.14
                      400m Bol 50.51
                      800m Jozwik 2.00.11
                      1500m Guerrero 4.08.60
                      3000m Koster 8.48.99
                      60m H Visser 7.87
                      H.J. Mahuchikh 2.03m
                      P.V. Bradshaw 4.73m
                      L.J. Mihambo 6.83m
                      T.J. Papahristu 14.51m
                      S.P. Dongmo 19.42m
                      Pentathlon Thiam 4901
                      4x4 Netherlands 3.24.55

                      MEN

                      60m Jacobs 6.55
                      400m Maslak 45.99
                      800m Kszczot 1.47 10
                      1500m Ingebritsen J. 3.33.99
                      3000m Katir 7.40.10
                      60m H Belocian 7.50m
                      H.J. Tamberi 2.32m
                      P.V. Duplantis 6.03 m
                      L.J. Tentoglu 8.18 m
                      T.J. Pichardo 17.30m
                      S.P. Haratyk 22.07m
                      Hep Mayer 6390
                      4x4 Belgium 3.04.63

                      The above from Philipo.




                      3000m
                      Last edited by philipo; 03-03-21, 17:55.

                      Comment


                      • LuckySpikes
                        LuckySpikes commented
                        Editing a comment
                        Ah, you changed your mind. Good man!
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